Rigorous methods, built into the decisions agencies run on.
The hardest program decisions — weighing alternatives, allocating resources, scoring risk at scale — call for analytical methods matched to the question, not off-the-shelf tools. ALT brings optimization, simulation, forecasting, and economic analysis to those decisions.
We apply these methods two ways: as analysis that informs a specific decision, and as the production scoring models, forecasting engines, and decision tools an agency operates day to day — grounded in federal analytical standards (OMB Circular A-94). Where we build a system, we do so separately from any independent review of it.
What quantitative decision support delivers
Methods applied to program decisions and systems
Scoring & decision models
Build, calibrate, and maintain production scoring and risk-ranking models agencies operate at scale.
Forecasting & simulation
Forecast outcomes and run Monte Carlo and scenario simulation under uncertainty.
Benefit-cost & economic analysis
Quantify costs, benefits, and trade-offs for program and policy alternatives under OMB A-94.
Optimization & resource allocation
Optimize allocation, scheduling, and prioritization against constraints and objectives.
Statistical & predictive analysis
Apply regression, classification, and time-series methods to explain drivers and anticipate outcomes.
Decision tools & reporting
Build interactive dashboards and decision tools that turn analysis into repeatable, usable outputs.
From decision question to working answer
Frame the decision
Clarify the decision, stakeholders, constraints, and whether the answer is an analysis or a system.
Choose the method & data
Select the modeling, optimization, or economic approach and prepare the data to support it.
Build & test
Develop the model, tool, or analysis and test it through back-testing, sensitivity, and scenario work.
Deliver & support
Hand over findings or a working system, with documentation and support for ongoing use.
Questions we help programs answer
- Which alternative delivers the best outcome for the cost and constraints we face?
- How should we score, rank, or prioritize at scale — and can it run in production?
- How do outcomes change across scenarios, assumptions, and levels of uncertainty?
- How do we put this analysis into a tool decision-makers can actually use?
Connected ALT Solutions services
Facing a decision that needs more than a spreadsheet?
ALT brings the methods — and builds the models and tools — behind complex federal program decisions.